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The IEA says humanity used the greatest amount of coal in 2022 in all of human history, and that this level of consumption will continue until at least 2025. One-third of all global coal goes to generate electricity in China, and India's coal use is growing at 6% per annum.
iea.orgSubmitted by lughnasadh t3_zp5tn5 in Futurology
grundar t1_j401weq wrote
Reply to comment by standarduser2 in Significant reductions in global greenhouse gas emissions still possible. Research estimated total global CO2 emissions from the life cycle of gas-fired power is 3.6 billion tons each year. This could be reduced by as much as 71% if a variety of mitigation options were used around the world. by Wagamaga
more quickly than that. In particular, [the IEA WEO projects a 20% emissions decline by 2030](https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/global-energy-related-co2-emissions-by-scenario-1990-2050). That's using the mid-range scenario ("APS"), since [clean energy progressed much faster than even ... power generation](https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/01/renewable-energy-has-another-record-year-of-growth-says-iea) and [over 100% of additional power generation expected by 2030](https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2022/outlook-for-electricity). A similar shift has started in ground transportation; [oil-burning car sales peaked 5 years ... light vehicle sales around 2030, resulting in a permanent decline in oil consumption ([peaking around 2024](https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2022/outlook-for-liquid-fuels) and declining 5-10% by 2030). So, yes, there will be several billion people consuming much
civilrunner t1_j58kd14 wrote
Reply to comment by Surur in Carbon capture nets 2 billion tonnes of CO2 each year — but it's not enough. As well as cutting emissions, governments need to ramp up investment in carbon dioxide removal technologies to hit climate goals. by filosoful
Pretty confident these numbers are wrong. https://www.iea.org/fuels-and-technologies/carbon-capture-utilisation-and-storage We're currently capturing about 45 megatons annually. https://www.iea.org/reports/global-energy-review-2021/co2-emissions Meanwhile globally we emit 31.5 gigatons or 31,500 megatons. That means we need
grundar t1_ittfxiz wrote
Reply to Global CO2 emissions to grow less than 1% on green energy, EV expansion: IEA by Leprechan_Sushi
Renewables and EVs prevented about 70% of the CO2 emissions increase](https://www.iea.org/news/defying-expectations-co2-emissions-from-global-fossil-fuel-combustion-are-set-to-grow-in-2022-by-only-a-fraction-of-last-year-s-big-increase): > "The rise in global CO2 emissions this year would be much larger – more than tripling to reach close ... rise of 300Mt will leave energy-related emissions [about 0.7% below their 2018 peak](https://www.iea.org/reports/global-energy-review-2021/co2-emissions), as emissions in 2021 were still 500Mt below 2018's level. There's a reasonable chance that will
TheShadyGuy t1_iudui6r wrote
Reply to comment by thejynxed in Companies’ ‘deforestation-free’ supply chain pledges have barely impacted forest clearance in the Amazon by thebelsnickle1991
unsubstantiated claim makes economic sense. Edit: Brazil is one of the top 10 paper producing countries. https://www.iea.org/news/iea-deepens-cooperation-with-brazil-with-new-benchmarking-report-on-the-pulp-and-paper-sector
grundar t1_iuglbah wrote
Reply to comment by OriginalCompetitive in New solar capacity 10 times cheaper than gas, says intelligence company Rystad by EnergyTransitionNews
years That is not accurate -- [annual installations grew by 4x in just the last 2 years](https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/annual-grid-scale-battery-storage-additions-2016-2021) (6.3GW vs. 1.6GW globally), in large part due to the [89% cost reduction
grundar t1_iugufoq wrote
Reply to comment by Lord_Snowfall in New solar capacity 10 times cheaper than gas, says intelligence company Rystad by EnergyTransitionNews
wind and solar -- [they will be 120% of new electricity added between now and 2030](https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2022/outlook-for-electricity) -- and is [taking place right now for batteries](https://www.benchmarkminerals.com/membership/lithium-ion-battery-pipeline-breaks-the-6twh-barrier/) and [EVs](https://cleantechnica.com/2022/10/24/china-electric-car-sales-35-share-of-auto-sales-in-september/). That
233C OP t1_ivopuki wrote
Reply to [OC] Electricity gCO2/kWh vs Share of renewables in electricity (%) (1990-2020), in Europe by 233C
Sources: gCO2/kWh: https://www.eea.europa.eu/ims/greenhouse-gas-emission-intensity-of-1 Share of renewables: https://www.iea.org/regions/europe Tool: MS Excel
grundar t1_iw04qvh wrote
Reply to Global Carbon Budget 2022 | The remaining carbon budget for a 50 % likelihood to limit global warming to 1.5, 1.7, and 2C has, respectively, reduced to 105 GtC, 200 GtC, and 335 GtC from the beginning of 2023, equivalent to 9, 18, and 30 years, assuming 2022 emissions levels. by silence7
projected to peak around 2025 ([source](https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/oct/27/carbon-emissions-to-peak-in-2025-in-historic-turning-point-says-iea)) and fall 15% by 2030 ([source](https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/global-energy-related-co2-emissions-by-scenario-1990-2050)). Those figures would suggest ~33GtC through 2025 + ~51GtC through 2030, or another 84GtC used from the carbon
sdbernard OP t1_izslnql wrote
Reply to [OC] Small multiple chart showing renewable energy capacity additions over the next 5 years by sdbernard
Source:[IEA](https://www.iea.org/reports/renewables-2022) Tools: Excel, d3, Illustrator China will dominate in renewable energy development over the next five years, increasing capacity by more than the US and Europe combined. It also shows that
grundar t1_j1a380i wrote
Reply to comment by giuliomagnifico in Changes in Earth’s orbit that favored hotter conditions may have helped trigger a rapid global warming event 56 million years ago that is considered an analogue for modern climate change by giuliomagnifico
within 3 years](https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/oct/27/carbon-emissions-to-peak-in-2025-in-historic-turning-point-says-iea), and [emissions are expected to fall 10-20% by 2030](https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/global-energy-related-co2-emissions-by-scenario-1990-2050). Climate change is a hard enough problem without [demoralizing people with doomist hyperbole](https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/feb/27/climatologist-michael-e-mann-doomism-climate-crisis-interview).
Bugfrag t1_j21wpml wrote
Reply to comment by random_shitter in Russians did such a good job promoting renewable energy and electric vehicles this year. by darth_nadoma
back it up I already read the IEA Jan 2022 report. It's not there. https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-investment-2022
grundar t1_j22hl1p wrote
Reply to comment by random_shitter in Russians did such a good job promoting renewable energy and electric vehicles this year. by darth_nadoma
what will be installed over the period 2022-2027, not just for 2022 ([IEA report](https://www.iea.org/news/renewable-power-s-growth-is-being-turbocharged-as-countries-seek-to-strengthen-energy-security)). However, that's a pretty minor correction, as the phrase the prior comment was complaining about
grundar t1_j7gvwks wrote
Reply to comment by 9273629397759992 in Current climate policies lead the world to less than a 5 percent likelihood of phasing out coal by mid-century ,new study shows by 9273629397759992
fucked". In particular, [the IEA expects CO2 emissions to fall 15-20% by 2030](https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/global-energy-related-co2-emissions-by-scenario-1990-2050), putting the world roughly in line with the IPCC's SSP1-2.6 pathway which projects an estimated
grundar t1_j7hsi7v wrote
Reply to comment by SexyOldHobo in Current climate policies lead the world to less than a 5 percent likelihood of phasing out coal by mid-century ,new study shows by 9273629397759992
also why [the International Energy Agency projects carbon emissions will fall 15-20% by 2030.](https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/global-energy-related-co2-emissions-by-scenario-1990-2050) Is that a *morally satisfying* reason for change to occur? No, not really -- it feels weird
grundar t1_j7o8ly9 wrote
Reply to comment by ludwigvanboltzmann in Current climate policies lead the world to less than a 5 percent likelihood of phasing out coal by mid-century ,new study shows by 9273629397759992
International Energy Agency projects carbon emissions will fall 15-20% by 2030.](https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/global-energy-related-co2-emissions-by-scenario-1990-2050) > > I don't care why it's happening, I do care that it's not happening anywhere near
grundar t1_j8qdsbv wrote
Reply to comment by SaxManSteve in New study shows Acceleration of global sea level rise imminent past 1.8℃ planetary warming by 9273629397759992
SSP5-8.5 scenarios)." By contrast, [the IEA expects CO2 emissions to fall 15-20% by 2030](https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/global-energy-related-co2-emissions-by-scenario-1990-2050), putting the world roughly in line with the IPCC's SSP1-2.6 pathway -- a pathway they
FuggleyBrew t1_j9aalt1 wrote
Reply to comment by Timbershoe in Europe's natural gas prices fall to 18-month low by Sebekiz
period in 2021, driven by a 15% drop in the industrial sector as factories curtailed production.** https://www.iea.org/news/natural-gas-markets-expected-to-remain-tight-into-2023-as-russia-further-reduces-supplies-to-europe By contrast Norway increased, but less than the decrease in demand: >The official gas export
DisasterousGiraffe OP t1_jaryg79 wrote
Reply to comment by ajmmsr in Electric world that kicks out fossil fuels will cost less than combustion economy. 30TW of wind and solar PV will take 0.2% of earth's surface. by DisasterousGiraffe
going all-in with BEVs which already have [14% of the global market in 2022](https://www.iea.org/reports/co2-emissions-in-2022). BEV sales are increasing at a conservative estimate of [30% per year](https://old.reddit.com/r/Futurology/comments/10xssw9/gasoline_use_has_peaked_in_usa_6_below_2019_due/j7wayqg/) which means
washingtonpost OP t1_jd53gw2 wrote
Reply to comment by dclxvi616 in I write The Washington Post’s Climate Coach column, where I help people figure out what they can do to help curb climate change. Ask me Anything! by washingtonpost
absolutely right. Any one us don't have an outsize impact on the [36.3 gigatonnes](https://www.iea.org/reports/global-energy-review-co2-emissions-in-2021-2) the world emits each year — except perhaps Kim Kardashian and others flying their private jets
DisasterousGiraffe OP t1_jd9bkko wrote
Reply to comment by altmorty in IPCC chart says Solar PV and Wind Turbines are best way to achieve Deep, Rapid, and Low Cost emission cuts before 2030. by DisasterousGiraffe
they also say [renewables met 90% of last year’s global growth in electricity generation](https://www.iea.org/reports/co2-emissions-in-2022). So I guess we are at approximately global peak coal. After peak coal the MIT graph should
grundar t1_jdk6202 wrote
Reply to comment by baddfingerz1968 in There Is Still Plenty We Can Do to Slow Climate Change by nastratin
climateactiontracker.org/global/cat-thermometer/). In fact, [IEA projections are for emissions to fall 15-20% by 2030](https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/global-energy-related-co2-emissions-by-scenario-1990-2050), putting us [on the second-lowest IPCC pathway]((https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_SPM.pdf)) and in line for an estimated
haraldkl t1_je3y9jp wrote
Reply to comment by Tearakan in U.S. renewable electricity surpassed coal in 2022 by altmorty
power on top of traditional carbon emitting sources. Here is what [the IEA observes on 2022](https://www.iea.org/reports/co2-emissions-in-2022): >In a year marked by energy price shocks, rising inflation, and disruptions to traditional fuel
the_geth t1_je6roq1 wrote
Reply to comment by FlattopMaker in Ask Anything Wednesday - Physics, Astronomy, Earth and Planetary Science by AutoModerator
energy is likely carbon intensive in the first place. The scale is insane too: [see here](https://www.iea.org/reports/direct-air-capture) how they talk about a hypothetic future plant capturing 1 million ton of CO2 per year
Helkafen1 t1_jebu4dy wrote
Reply to comment by marcusaurelius_phd in The European Union to nearly double the share of renewables in the 27-nation bloc's energy consumption by 2030 amid efforts to become carbon neutral and ditch Russian fossil fuels. by chrisdh79
minute. - [U.S. Hydrogen Electrolyzer Locations and Capacity](https://www.energy.gov/eere/fuelcells/articles/us-hydrogen-electrolyzer-locations-and-capacity) - [Total installed electrolysis capacity by technology](https://www.iea.org/reports/electrolysers) > There's about 100 GW of already installed capacity. That's 100 GW more capacity
grundar t1_jef5cq1 wrote
Reply to comment by GwynbleiddSilver in Inexpensive and environmentally friendly mechanochemical recycling process recovers 70% of lithium from batteries by chrisdh79
other developed-world mine. Compared to the [7,500 Mt of coal mined per year](https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/global-coal-production-2018-2021) and [4,200 Mt of oil extracted per year](https://www.statista.com/statistics/265229/global-oil-production-in-million-metric-tons), mining [0.1Mt](https://pubs.usgs.gov
PeteWenzel OP t1_irxe3as wrote
Reply to comment by [deleted] in China’s Electric Trucks May Well Pull Forward Peak Oil Demand by PeteWenzel
wrong about busses: https://www.iea.org/reports/global-ev-outlook-2022/trends-in-electric-heavy-duty-vehicles#abstract
Kaz_55 t1_jefkxjn wrote
Reply to comment by jargo3 in The European Union to nearly double the share of renewables in the 27-nation bloc's energy consumption by 2030 amid efforts to become carbon neutral and ditch Russian fossil fuels. by chrisdh79
stagnating for the last decades and will play an ever diminishing role in the coming decades: https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/installed-power-generation-capacity-by-source-in-the-stated-policies-scenario-2000-2040 Nuclear is a dead-end for terrestial utility scale power generation. Renewables are the only feasible
FrozenIceman t1_irxyaxe wrote
Reply to comment by DM_me_ur_tacos in Solar Rollout Rouses Resistance in Europe’s Countryside: Regulations meant to protect green space block the installation of solar panels despite soaring energy prices by CannoliIntoPussy
industrial solar (I.E. Solar farms, the roof top ones are far less efficient). [https://www.iea.org/reports/projected-costs-of-generating-electricity-2020](https://www.iea.org/reports/projected-costs-of-generating-electricity-2020) On top of that the West put in lots of intentional blockers for Nuclear Development to slow its progress
robs62 OP t1_iu01rpy wrote
From the IEA's World Energy Outlook 2022: https://www.iea.org/news/world-energy-outlook-2022-shows-the-global-energy-crisis-can-be-a-historic-turning-point-towards-a-cleaner-and-more-secure-future
zenzukai t1_iudshj0 wrote
Reply to comment by HeyHihoho in Goal of limiting global heating to 1.5C ‘more fragile’ than ever, says Cop27 chair by ultimateHelmetHead
www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/share-of-power-generation-by-source
grundar t1_jdl1y0i wrote
Reply to comment by baddfingerz1968 in There Is Still Plenty We Can Do to Slow Climate Change by nastratin
look at the data:** **First**, [the IEA WEO projects a 20% emissions decline by 2030](https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/global-energy-related-co2-emissions-by-scenario-1990-2050). That's using the mid-range scenario ("APS"), since [clean energy progressed much faster than even their ... power generation](https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/01/renewable-energy-has-another-record-year-of-growth-says-iea) and [over 100% of additional power generation expected by 2030](https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2022/outlook-for-electricity), coal use is *highly* likely to decline in the near future (IEA's scenario ... reduction by 2030](https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2022/outlook-for-solid-fuels)). **Third**, [oil-burning car sales peaked 5 years ago and are in permanent decline](https://bnef.turtl.co/story/evo-2022/page/3/2?teaser=yes). Per their analysis, EVs will become a majority of light vehicle sales