By the end of the year I will again update my expectations for AGI. Current prediction is surely by 2030 and a decent chance by 2026-2028 and extremely slim by 2025. Hopefully by the years end it will be updated to even sooner.

Next year we will see gtp-4 and models from others that can do text, audio and visuals in the same model. By the end of the year you will be able to talk to the model.

Tesla will have pretty much nailed self driving and will start preparing for a city to test robotaxis and the M2. Tesla bot will be able to navigate and receive commands. They will start their, manufacturing line and have a hundred of them working at tesla factories.

Deepmind is a curve ball. Not sure what to predict for them. Hoping for a breakthrough structure. But I think they will have an AI that can use tools to help solve problems (eg code, calculators, google, read papers, perhaps simulations).

There will be an app that uses AI heavily to become a fad.