I hear your sentient but disagree. Why do you think it is cancer?

First of all it got us to where we are today so it isn't all bad.

Second it is great at resource allocation and encourages innovation.

The problems of capitalism stem from corruption. You need a government to enforce rules to account for negative externalities. When organizations can bribe or infiltrate policy making you are no longer serving the people.

When the government is ineffective in it's time you see unbound capitalism which is cancerous.

I think your argument is likely "a shitty government in capitalst economy is cancerous"

Argument was that the time between v3 and 4 was several years so v5 will be several years and marginally better

!Remindme 2 years

I mean if a super AI made a COVID vaccine that worked, and provided thousands of pages of reports on it, and did some trials in mice and stuff, and I was at risk... Absolutely I'd take it even if the FDA or whatever didn't approve it.

I'd send money to them and get it in the mail and self administer if I had to.

My point is perhaps if an AI system can provide enough supporting evidence and a good enough product they can operate outside of the existing medical system.

And they would likely create standards that exceed and more up to date than current medical regulations

A recent thought was if you could get AGI from simulation.

AlphaGo learnt the game by studying experts and how they played but AlphaStar (whatever the next version) taught itself all in simulation.

I wonder if it is possible for an AI to bootstrap itself like AlphaStar did.

Man, that is going to be the defining moment. A world without electricity is hard to imagine for me. But honestly before "smart phone" or even before "PC" isn't that unimaginable.

Like sure things will be a bit different but the fundamentals of life aren't.

But I can imagine for someone growing up with AI a time before AI (BAI not BCE... Lol) would be unimaginable. Like:

You had to do all the thinking yourself? You relied on other people who thought for themselves? You had people doing manual labor??

And of course things we can't even imagine now.

Agreed

If we are doing brains in mass that is very different to a handful of ICU patients.

The brain would need to be fed a stream of nutrients and hormones along with oxygenated air.

Everything could be recycled locally.

So we are talking more like an automated fish tank + chemical needed to keep it running than a hospital .

So long term a few bucks per day.

I personally think absolutely. 20 years is a very long time. Tesla will start mass manufacturing their robot in 2-3 years. They will use all the robots produced for 2-5 years.

So 4-8 years they will start selling them. They will be connected to the data center where a strong AI will understand the command/job given it, and then it will send back simple instructions to the robot.

I think send driving will be solved well before then so they will have lots of compute to help with training.

Connecting utilities is a walk in the park. However I believe the housing will likely be built off-site with options to be self sufficient. Otherwise the robots just connect it to the utilities.

Additionally by then you will have autonomous heavy machinery as well (eg bulldozers) so the AI at HQ will be able to create the plans for the entire project and then send the instructions to hundreds of humanoid robots and heavy machinery with Tesla cars/semis to move everything around

Yeah, unless there.is a massive human wide event like a nuclear war, massive deadly pandemic, etc

My point is more that for an experienced developer it would take them a day. For an inexperienced developer less than a week.

I guess my real question is how come I'm not doing this?!

Yeah it is Terrible. No idea why they castrated it as they did.

Agreed... However I'm surprised such a thing doesn't exist yet.

OpenAI has whisper which is great an voice to text (and open source)

The text can then be input to GTP3

And then the result spoken via elevenlabs.

This is just plugging some apis together in an app...

Why hasn't this been done

Better yet you can find your "ideal" voice on YouTube and then clone that specific voice

I'm very interested in this topic. If you have a google doc or something I'd happily make some contributions to it.

+Autonomous vehicles

+Luddites/resistance to AI

+Powerful AI assistant

Yes i agree and I think that is probably only a couple years away too !

We will have an AI companion that can do things for us (scheduling, pay bills, etc) and help us as an expert (dietician, physiologist, doctor, trainer, etc) in almost all areas of our lives

Yes i agree and I think that is probably only a couple years away too !

We will have an AI companion that can do things for us (scheduling, pay bills, etc) and help us as an expert (dietician, physiologist, doctor, trainer, etc) in almost all areas of our lives

RemindMe! 24 years 6 months and 5 days

Modern day luddites. It will get a hell of a lot worse when the AI actually start producing higher quality product.

So a couple questions then.

1. If it is about control, why release these papers? Why give the industry/world updates on your progress?

2. If they wanted to control the AI and the products it creates, it should create an AI spinoff to launch products. (eg; Make a AI music company that releases hits). But there has been no word of this either.

Very well said/written!

I'm not making any claims about LLM's.

The first motors were woefully inefficient and were just used to move water.

If someone said that will change humanity, you would laugh and say, what, this shitty pump?

But the motor evolved and performance increased and it started at more applications than just pumping water.

We are at the dawn of an AI revolution. This is the first iteration of a shitty water pump.

Prompt writers aren't going to be a job. This will be a very brief period of time where you have to spend time to engineer a prompt to get what you want.

Alright I'll give it a shot.

A majority of Labor pre industrial revolution was human powered. Therefore everything took a lot of time and energy and 95÷+ of humans was in farming.

The industrial revolution allowed us to replace human muscles with mechanical. That resulted in <5÷ in farming.

The AI revolution will change human powered thinking to mechanical, but of course just like a motor is stronger than a human, can run 24/7, can be made bigger, etc, the same is true for AI

So expect 95÷+ change in how people live their lives. How? Who knows. But the change is monumental and will be a far faster transition than the industrial revolution

I like it!

Thoughts on adding:

-Brain machine interfaces: How will that impact your daily life? I can imagine using it to surpess hunger to loose weight and then ramp up enjoyment when eating (healthy?) food.

-Full VR: How does this impact life? ?Helpful to have a display you can always access to show you information/entertainment. What about 'holodeck' worlds? Do you do campaigns with your friends in full dive VR?

-AI companion: Do you have an AI companion there? How often do you interact with it? How do you communicate with it?

-Housing: Where do you live? Do you live in nature because you can get internet anywhere on the planet? Do you live in little communes?

-Health: What kind of monitoring do you have for your body? Do you get custom made drugs for optimal health? How long are you expected to live for? Is there anti aging?

Would be intersted to hear your thoughts on any of these!

I'd say staying current is important. Know and use the tools.

I think it is probably better for all of us if that happens.

However I think they have a real shot with deepmind (and not Google)