pnartG

pnartG t1_jaa7uyz wrote

As I explained above, UBI is not going to happen. UBI, like other types of social safety-nets (health insurance, publically-funded college eduction, social security, etc) is a project of the left. But the world is shifting to the right. All over the world right-wing, authoritarians are coming into power. Who do you think will win in the US 2024 elections? And the right does not like UBI or any other social safety net programmes.

The "bubble of bliss", as Yuli-Ban, above, calls it, that we're living in is the historical exception. Throughout all of human history there were no "social safety nets". The common people died by their millions in plagues, famines, wars or just general chaos. But the species survived and will continue to do so.

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pnartG t1_ja6nzbl wrote

What I don't get is everyone's cyberdelic utopianism that we all get UBI and everyone's happy.

We're not getting UBI. UBI is a dream of the left. But in the face of rapid social, economic, cultural, climate, and technological change, people get scared, circle the wagons and shift to the right. No one really believes in liberal democracy anymore, anyway - the future will be authoritarian and right-wing. The right has always opposed UBI.

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pnartG t1_ja6n0ny wrote

Wishful thinking. The world is shifting to the right because people are scared of all the rapid economic, geopolitical, cultural and technological change happening. And the pace of change will only speed up, especially with AI. So the world will shift even farther to the right. UBI is a dream of the left. Ain't gonna happen.

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pnartG t1_ja6m9v7 wrote

Transformation and change are disruptive. When they happen really fast or on a massive scale people get scared and retreat into traditionalism and conservative thinking. All across the earth right now we're seeing the rise of right-wing nationalism and religious extremism and weird conspiracy theories. . Right now we're going through massive changes due to technology, climate change, changes in the status of women and gender roles, and shifts in global empires - Asia rising, the west struggling. Values, beliefs, traditions, systems of power and authority, are all shifting and changing super-fast and AI will accelerate that.

When things are in a high state of uncertainty and fear humans tend to circle the wagons and put strong men and dictators in charge. As I said, there are many changes happening now, but AI is probably the straw that breaks the camel's back.

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pnartG t1_ja6kxgc wrote

"It can increase your efficiency"

So you have a shop with 50 developers. But in a few years the new AI tools increase everyone's productivity by 10. So now you only need 5 developers to produce the same output that you had before. If you're lucky/smart/well-connected/charismatic enough to be one of the remaining five, great. But the other 45 are unemployed.

And if that phenomenon happens across the economy so lots of people are unemployed, i.e., recession, then the demand for whatever it is your shop made may also go down, so some of the remaining five may also lose their job.

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