This is what will happen if we’ve either a) exhausted demand, or b) made software development much easier such that people who previously couldn’t do it now can.
The first was likely true for accountants, but is less obviously so for software — there’s still vastly more useful software to build than actually gets built, and each piece of new software that gets built generally increases that demand.
Perhaps the second is true though — do you foresee enough non-developers being able to write, deploy, maintain, and operate production systems as a result of LLMs (in a way that high level languages and previous tooling didn’t)? If not, or if not in sufficient numbers, maybe what happens is that software developers become more in demand than ever due to their productivity increases resulting in even demand for more software (because they can write it quicker).
__scan__ t1_jdxj30g wrote
Reply to comment by robobub in [D] GPT4 and coding problems by enryu42
This is what will happen if we’ve either a) exhausted demand, or b) made software development much easier such that people who previously couldn’t do it now can.
The first was likely true for accountants, but is less obviously so for software — there’s still vastly more useful software to build than actually gets built, and each piece of new software that gets built generally increases that demand.
Perhaps the second is true though — do you foresee enough non-developers being able to write, deploy, maintain, and operate production systems as a result of LLMs (in a way that high level languages and previous tooling didn’t)? If not, or if not in sufficient numbers, maybe what happens is that software developers become more in demand than ever due to their productivity increases resulting in even demand for more software (because they can write it quicker).