MandatoryFunEscapee

MandatoryFunEscapee t1_ix1mrvn wrote

Dial back the optimism, there, bud. Dinosaurs will never be brought back without engineering them basically from scratch.

Artificial wombs aren't likely in the 2030s. Very doubtful we will see genetic modification of adults that decade, either. Things take time. AI will help speed up research, but it will still take time. We could see an AGI in the '30s, but it isn't as if a baby AI is guaranteed to cause the singularity overnight.

Religion will be here for a while yet. The Boomers will be going extinct that decade, so church membership is going to be falling like a stone next decade, but it won't disappear with them. It will hang on, become unpopular, and people won't talk about it as much in the '30s, but I think it will have double-digit percentages of the American population until the 50s or 60s.

That is, so long as the Fundies don't go insane and destroy our civilization in this decade...

Edit:

I want to respond to that rude person.

You ok? Need a protein bar?

I feel pretty confident in my predictions. I have been reading about technology and the singularity for almost 20 years, after all. The fact that all you did was insult me without providing any substantive feedback is a bit telling on your level of knowledge on the subject.

And that just isn't a good method to voice disagreement, ok? Use facts and logic, not tantrums. The internet has trained us to be caustic, and while there is a place for that (check my history, I'm not always nice), it isn't the only tool you should have for arguments, because it is generally not effective.

Besides, I am not taking away anything from you by voicing my opinions.

I do want to clarify the one point you mentioned. You know anything about death rates per age group? Compared to 2018 when I did my reading, there will be 10M fewer Boomers in 2032. By the end of the 2030s the oldest Boomers would be approaching centenarian status, putting the youngest in their 80s. So age-related attrition rates being what they are, as a cohort their numbers will be pretty thin.

They won't all be dead. But they will be pretty deep in the process of going extinct.

And no, I don't think radical life-extension tech will be ready for prime-time to save their generation. Maybe Millenials, almost certainly Zoomers.

The affordability of that is another question entirely. Let's all thank Capitalism for its contributions towards paywalling life itself, both today, and into on our "glorious" future.

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MandatoryFunEscapee t1_iw78q8k wrote

We all need to start asking people who accuse anyone of being a socialist to define socialism.

And when they can't, tell them the definition.

Worker-owned means of production

Democracy in the workplace

Decommodification (and/or nationalization) of living expenses (food, water and electric production and distribution, data distribution, housing)

I've had conservatives say "that isn't socialism, that sounds good." Paraphrasing.

But then they look it up. Most cope and seethe at having lost a point in an argument. But some sit and think quietly. I've had 2 conservatives (moderates) change their tune. The last one went from echoing Fox talking points in every convo, to "I misunderstood Bernie before, and AOC is a little green on the political side but she has great ideas."

Two out of dozens I've debated isn't a good ratio, but putting Leftist values in perspective is literally the only thing that has had any success so far.

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