FredTheLynx
FredTheLynx t1_ja5x9ny wrote
For what is is worth, I am not an expert in much but I am an expert in a couple of areas frequently brought up in this sub and.... much of what people discuss here is simply not the reality.
Societal collapse in the modern sense is something akin to the breakup of the USSR, or the Balkanization of Yugoslavia. Yes these are big history writing events, but Humanity is not going back to the dark ages.
Yes the economic outlook for someone in the US at least who is ~25 today is objectively worse after accounting for inflation then it was for someone who turned 25 say 40 years ago. However what is not commonly brought up is that someone who turns 25 tomorrow still has a longer life expectancy and higher standards of living than someone who turned 25 40 years ago.
AI is not what people think AI is. A good analog for AI would be the Industrial Revolution. Things that used to be extremely expensive and could only be made by Artisans suddenly became very cheap and available because mass production brought down costs. AI is going to do the same thing but going to do it instead for things that are today created on computers by white collar workers. Things like graphic design, simple software, scheduling meetings, writing help documentation, etc. etc. We are so far from a general AI that can replace a human wholesale that it is really not even worth thinking about.
FredTheLynx t1_j8gpjt1 wrote
Reply to comment by ryan_s007 in How ChatGPT Could Revolutionize Job Automation [Opinion] by ryan_s007
That's the thing though, that is the fundamental limit of these kind of natural language AIs. They learn by volume.
Chat GPT writes really good cover letters for Job applicants for example. Because there are tons of cover letter examples out there for it to ingest and learn exactly what it is that makes a good one.
And that means two important things.
- They cant teach themselves anything.
- For anything obscure enough that sufficient volume and variety of material doesn't exist they aren't that great.
FredTheLynx t1_j8fwkis wrote
Chat GPT automates the process of someone with zero knowledge on a topic looking online for the information on that topic and learning just a tiny tiny bit enough to get the job done.
So if your job can be learned exclusively by a relatively intelligent person spending 20-30 minutes googling... well your in trouble.
FredTheLynx t1_j65uda2 wrote
Greta Thunberg is a A- activist and A+ troller of idiots, but putting her and the UN as equals in opinions on climate change is a bit much.
FredTheLynx t1_j5otsxy wrote
Reply to comment by Diebaas_reddit in South Africa boosting ties with Russia: Minister ‘pleased with progress’ after hosting Russia’s Sergei Lavrov by skipthedamned
I mean when your other Allies are Iran and North Korea... South Africa seems maybe an upgrade?
FredTheLynx t1_j1zims7 wrote
Reply to comment by frizzykid in Lithuania defense minister is leery that Russia will run out of ammo by KimCureAll
No one knowledgeable is saying they will run out in the sense they have to stop fighting because they have no ammo.
Some people are saying they will become constrained in terms of what they can do, when and at what scale because they will become more reliant on new production and less able to draw down from preexisting stocks.
FredTheLynx t1_iu97py8 wrote
And some Idiot Russian politician calling the attack of Sevastopol a "Declaration of War" in 3, 2, 1....
FredTheLynx t1_iu965pa wrote
Reply to comment by CrieDeCoeur in TIL Jewish persons could not hold public office in Maryland until 1826 by synonyco
It is honestly kind of amazing how much progress has been made in the last 50-70 years and simultaneously depressing how long it took.
For like 99.999% of human history we have been an almost completely tribal bunch of murderous dickheads and many of us still are.
FredTheLynx t1_jeazxix wrote
Reply to comment by StrngBrew in YES Network unveils DTC product, pricing ahead of Yankees Opening Day by PoopEmoji8618
Apparently the Yankees don't know how cheap a VPN is.