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Mr_Goaty_McGoatface t1_ja5dgbl wrote

As a professional software engineer who has worked closely with AI and machine learning, especially lately, you have nothing to worry about.

Since the 50s, there have been a series of solutions nearly every decade year that we're all meant to "eliminate the professional software engineer." From languages that were meant to be so easy that business people could use them, to no-code/low-code solutions, to ML-powered coding solutions.

AI coding can be impressive, but it basically only works on pointlessly general, well-understood, extremely close ended problems. And even then, I've yet to see Chat-GPT consistently produce better than CS 101 algorithms without errors or shortcomings.

Even if it significantly improves, it'll just join the ranks of every other engineer killer tech as a reasonable support tool to allow business people to make basic software. We need to be talking about AGI before you need to be worried, and I don't care what the fan boys and hype men say, we're not even playing in the same ballpark as AGI for now.

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fastinguy11 t1_ja689tu wrote

Ok wanna make a bet with me ? within 5 years we will have a.i that will take more then 50% job opportunity from your profession.

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xcdesz t1_ja6g6ib wrote

I would definately take that bet. Software development is not the job most people think it is, even at the junior level. The thing that most outside of the field dont know about is that the hardest part is figuring out what needs to be done, not how to do it / code it.

Ive seen some impressive and revolutionary stuff from generative AI.. and have been studying it and using it much longer than most here on Reddit, but what Ive learned is that generative AI is really not as job-destroying as people are hyping it to be. The ceo of OpenAI has said this -- GPT4 is going to let some people down, because its not an AGI.

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fastinguy11 t1_ja6soct wrote

Alright meet me here in 5 years 27 Feb 2028, if A.I did not reduce job opportunities for your profession by at least 50% I lost the bet.

that said if it reduced it by 35% or more you have to at least concede it was better then you expected.

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