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bkydx t1_ixvhiud wrote

Reply to comment by JKUAN108 in A study of NFL games during the 2020 season suggests a link between attendance and COVID spikes in surrounding counties 14 and 21 days later. The inferred connection held strongest for games attended by 20,000-plus fans by Wagamaga

The Beta Variant was during the 2020-2021 season.

They only used data from 100 of the 269 games.

Toumi et Al used the data from 600 games with an average of 10,000 people and showed no increase in covid in the county.

They clearly are not causal nor even related and the only reason it has any correlation is because the data is taken during the Beta variant outbreak.

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JKUAN108 t1_ixvje3g wrote

> Toumi et Al used the data from 600 games with an average of 10,000 people and showed no increase in covid in the county.

I found the link:

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8371570/

They considered limited attendance with a median of 9949 people (6000 to 13 797) and found no increase in COVID activity.

This paper that OP posted here did not consider specifically limited attendance, and allowed for attendance at 20,000 or higher (as mentioned in the title). They also found no increased covid activity at <5,000 people, consistent with the Toumi, et al. paper. So it appears that the paper you cited has results consistent with the paper that OP posted. So limited attendance (perhaps even up to 10,000-13,000) does not increase COVID, although attendance of 20,000 people does increase COVID.

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JKUAN108 t1_ixvhux4 wrote

> the only reason

Do you have a source that it’s the only reason?

I will take a look at the other paper you mentioned

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