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Sstnd t1_ja58nna wrote

Reply to comment by NaturalNines in how could the future be for young people ? by nousomuchoesto

My Smoking uncle has been Shouting about how Smoking is not as bad as it is made, how Alcohol helps him relax, all sorts of shit.

Guess how often he has died of cancer yet?

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NaturalNines t1_ja5gama wrote

Anecdotes about your drunk uncle have no relevance to this discussion.

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trippedbackwards t1_ja8779b wrote

I think that's his point! Some people are suggesting OP practically ignores all the dire projections. He's saying that just because we've survived as a species so far doesn't mean one of these real problems could have unprecedented results. Sure, his uncle is still alive. But he's very lucky. Smoking is, in fact, bad for you and kills millions of people.

He's basically illustrating "survivor bias".

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NaturalNines t1_ja8gsjl wrote

Except one person saying something irrational about medical science isn't an argument against scientists pushing flawed calculations that end up not coming true.

Hence why, rather than addressing the scientific flaws that produced the false predictions, he starts making up excuses about the anecdotal experience of his uncle.

It's not a scientific argument at all. It's an excuse to not have one.

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trippedbackwards t1_ja8mnng wrote

You said his anecdote wasn't relevant. He never claimed it was a scientific argument. His anecdote demonstrates survivor bias which is 100% relevant to the discussion. You were just too obtuse to recognize it.

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