awcomix OP t1_jd5h7ls wrote on March 21, 2023 at 11:38 PM

Reply to comment by TemetN in If you knew for certain the technological singularity will occur at the end of 2025, what would you do? by awcomix

Thanks for teaching me a new term FOOM. I had to look it up. I’m curious about other run up scenarios that you mentioned.

TemetN t1_jd5jmsq wrote on March 21, 2023 at 11:55 PM

Top of my head? Apart from that, the other two big ones are the argument that the rate of progress is exponential in general, and AI's integration will further improve it. And Vinge's superhuman agents idea, which posits that we can't predict the results of AI R&D once it hits the point of being beyond human capabilities.

I tend to think that either of those is more likely (or rather, the first is inevitable and the second is hard to predict), and that we're in the runup to a soft takeoff now.