Ok_Homework9290
Ok_Homework9290 t1_ix6y3ua wrote
Reply to comment by Zealousideal_Ad3783 in Metaculus community prediction for "Date Weakly General AI is Publicly Known" has dropped to Oct 26, 2027 by maxtility
As eyebrow raising as that may seem, keep in mind that anyone can make a prediction on that site (which is why I don't take their predictions too seriously) and that the people that make predictions there tend to be tech-junkies, who are generally optimistic when it comes to timelines.
Also, I'm a bit skeptical that the amount of progress that's been made in AI this year (which has been impressive, no doubt) merits THAT much of a shave-off from the April prediction. I kinda feel like that's an overreaction, especially if Gato really isn't as big of a deal as some people make it seem. Just my two cents.
Ok_Homework9290 t1_ix2d3hf wrote
Reply to comment by AI_Enjoyer87 in 2023 predictions by ryusan8989
Ai video perfected? It literally just entered its infancy this year.
Ok_Homework9290 t1_ix75u5y wrote
Reply to comment by Yuli-Ban in Metaculus community prediction for "Date Weakly General AI is Publicly Known" has dropped to Oct 26, 2027 by maxtility
Perhaps the proof of concept is a big deal, perhaps it isn't. I guess we'll have a better idea when the next version comes out, whenever that may be.