AGI_69

AGI_69 t1_izz7tyn wrote

>I think this post will be monumentally important for some of you to read. Put it in your brain, think about it

The most obnoxious, grandiose title, I've ever seen here. Even for /r/singularity

>sorry if this feels like a crack-pot, wannabe prophet post that can be common around here.

Well, at least you are somewhat self-aware.

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AGI_69 t1_ix01ka7 wrote

I think, we are going to see big improvements in text-to-video, text-to-3D-models. I know, there are some papers on it, but not much we can use right now.

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AGI_69 t1_issnbhz wrote

>But the new Codex checks and corrects itself?

Only syntactic errors, not functional.

>just enough to replace the majority of entry level positions.

Codex is very far from that. I think, you have wrong idea what juniors do. Even the juniors have understanding of the parts of the system and they cannot be instructed by few sentences. Most of their work, is actually trying to understand, what is wanted from them - which computers are really bad at still.
There are layers of understanding, it will take leaps in AI, before it can easily reason about high level abstractions and implement it in code.
Also, the "programming" is not perfect information game. You have to ask LOT OF questions and debates, before you and the client converge on what they need.
I am sure, it will come, but right now, nobody is using it for real work.

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AGI_69 t1_isryx3m wrote

People do not understand, what "programmers" do day-to-day, so this kind of question pops up all the time. Most of the time, we don't write these dummy, generic codes that Codex produces. Also, you already don't have to write ton of code yourself, because it's on the github or stackoverflow. Now, when AI starts to understand larger systems and their design, debate tradoffs etc - and starts to make suggestions and implement them, than I will be amazed, even though I know it's coming.

The comparison with artists, is not good one. Codebase that, has thousands (miliions) lines of codes, it interacting with 40 other components etc etc, is not same as image, where you have large room of error. You can literally change one symbol in codebase and it fails or has bug.

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